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Poll: When New Zealand reaches 80% fully vaccinated, which of the following estimates do you think provides the most suitable worst-case scenario for New Zealand over the next 12 months?

Alan from Titirangi

New Zealand currently has about 34% (about 1/3) of its population over 12 fully vaccinated. For Singapore the percentage is about 80 % (about 4/5). When New Zealand reaches 80% fully vaccinated, which of the following case estimates do you think provides the most suitable worst-case scenario for New Zealand over the next 12 months? Assume you may have up to 80 deaths. See:
Covid-19 NZ: Rodney Jones says Shaun Hendy’s 7000-death vaccine model doesn’t pass plausibility test:
www.stuff.co.nz...
aaamazingphoenix.wordpress.com...

When New Zealand reaches 80% fully vaccinated, which of the following estimates do you think provides the most suitable worst-case scenario for New Zealand over the next 12 months?
  • 18.2% 90,000 cases
    18.2% Complete
  • 9.1% 50,000 cases
    9.1% Complete
  • 6.1% 24,000 cases
    6.1% Complete
  • 18.2% 12,000 cases
    18.2% Complete
  • 15.2% 8,000 cases
    15.2% Complete
  • 33.3% 4,000 cases
    33.3% Complete
33 votes
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